Monday 20 February 2012

Strength in Depth

Team sports aren't really team sports anymore.  You don't win titles simply by having the best team.  In modern sport, you need to have the best squad.  Gone are days when a team can win a league title using only 14 players - as Aston Villa did in 1980.  It's not necessarily the side with the best 11 players that wins the league, but it will be the one with the best 20+ players.
Modern sport is faster and more physically demanding and its participant are more susceptible to injury, fatigue or lose of form.  Not to mention the possibility of missing matches due to racial abuse, deliberately bowling no balls or concealing a blood capsule in your mouth!  Luckily, there is a lot more money in sport, so it's easier to build a squad and have strength in depth.

This probably doesn't end well
In the NFL, injuries are commonplace.  You can wear protection from head to toe, but if a 20 stone man slams into you it's going to hurt.  Concussions, fractures and breaks are part and parcel of NFL life.  Rule changes have helped and players have a lot more protection from officials, but there are still a high amount of injuries.  Not surprisingly, Quarterbacks are the victims of a lot of the big hits in the NFL.  As I discussed in a previous article, quarterback is king in the NFL.  Take out the quarterback and you are putting the opposition at a great disadvantage.

In the 2011 season, 13 teams finished the season with a different QB to the one they started it with.  Of these teams, only Denver & Jacksonville didn't suffer a serious injury at the position.  In addition Pittsburgh, Philidelphia, Tampa Bay and Seattle had injury problems at QB.  That's over half of the NFL teams that required their back up Quarterback to play during the season.  Some teams manged to absorb the injury - TJ Yates at Houston (who was actually the 3rd choice!) proved to be a capable game manager and even helped the team to a play off victory, John Skelton had a better record at Arizona than 1st choice Kevin Kolb, whilst Matt Moore did an excellent job replacing Chad Henne in Miami.

It was a very different story at a lot of other franchises.  Chicago collapsed in a heap after Caleb Hanie had to replace Jay Cutler halfway through the season, Kansas fans had to witness some bloke called Tyler Palko throw the ball wildly for a few weeks and far too many column inches have been devoted to the problems in Indianapolis for me to be able to add anything new.

Back up quarterbacks are usually either veterans who can use their experience to handle game time at short notice or inexperienced young players learning their trade.  Some players make great back ups, some are terrible and some are still unknown quantities.  Whoever your team has in the position, one thing is certain, if you haven't got a capable replacement QB, your team's season is a torn muscle away from an early ending.  That's why I don't want to support a team with a sub standard Quarterback.

So for this elimination, I'm going to look at the ten back up QBs at the remaining teams and eliminate the one with the lowest career QB rating.  Again, it might not be entirely fair - some QBs are improving, some are regressing, some teams will have different players in place before the 2012 season kicks off.  That's not to mention the previously documented flaws with the QB rating system.  However, seeing as my crystal ball still hasn't been delivered I'm going to have to go with what we know.

For the purposes of this elimination, I will be using the player ranked at Number 2 in their Teams depth chart  prior to Free Agency and their QB rating as per nfl.com.  Here are the results...
Jake Locker - Thrilled to be
in the NFL

Atlanta Falcons :                Chris Redman 79.4
Buffalo Bills:                       Tyler Thigpen   72.5
Carolina Panthers:            Derek Anderson 68.8
Cincinnati Bengals:           Bruce Gradkowski 65.8
Detroit Lions:                    Shaun Hill 84.7
Houston Texans:               Matt Leinart 71.6
Minnesota Vikings            Joe Webb 66.6
New York Jets                  Mark Brunell 84.0
Philadelphia Eagles         Vince Young 74.4
Tennessee Titans              Jake Locker 99.4

So by a whisker, I'm going to eliminate the Cincinnati Bengals. Which comes as a bit of a surprise. Before going through the teams my money was firmly on either Redman, Anderson or Webb coming bottom. Shows what I know!  Jake Locker came out on top, giving the Titans their first category victory and showing that they could be a bit of a QB controversy between him and Matt Hasselbeck this season.  Locker showed plenty of promise in his rookie season and may prove to be a great example of how being a back up can be beneficial to your career development.

Every team I lose now is a bit of a disappointment as I'd be happy to support any of them, but the Bengals were a team I expected to last the distance. Upwardly mobile with a bright young team.  On the plus side, we won't have to see this monstrosity again....

Fenton.......FENTON!!!

Nest time will be the first of 2 Geography based eliminations.  Only 8 more teams to go.......



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